Trading Cycle Low

A Trading Cycle (TC) Low measures the number of bars from low to low.  It only measures low to low. 

Cycle Trader's TC LOW to LOW count is frequently from 16 to 28 bars. Meaning once there is a TC Low, we would start to look for another TC Low starting after 16 bars from the current TC Low. 

The TC Low is not measured before 16 bars but it is measured past the 28 bar(s).

All TC lows occur below the 15 period moving average on all chart time frames. 

Meaning, that if the market is above the 15 period moving average and it's been 25 plus bars from the last TC low, then it is expected that the market to drop below the 15 period moving average to create the TC Low. 

Other models to consider: 

  • Where are Cycle Trader indicators? Are they in the buy zones?
  • Where is the market in the cycle down count? Is it at least past 5 to 8 bars down on the shorter-term charts? 
  • Is the general trend up, sideways, etc.? 
  • Are the longer-term charts up? Do they have lots more time to move up, and you are playing the TC low on a shorter-term chart, 5m, 10m, 15m?

Trade opportunity - If the market is overdue for a TC low and the market is trading above the 15 Moving Average, then expect the market to start back to the Moving Average soon to make that TC LOW.  

Trading Cycle Plot Automatically - The Alpha CT 04 CycleWave Indicator plots all the cycle counts and highlight the TC lows for all charts and time frames automatically. 

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Market Pulse -

We track the time from the last TC Low on up to 15 different time frames on Market Pulse. 

Futures, Options on Futures and Forex trading involves a substantial degree of risk of loss and is not suitable for all individuals. An investor could lose the entire investment or, in some cases, more than the initial investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.